
A few days ago the Academy, aka the people who hand out the Oscars, revealed the list of songs from this year’s movies that are eligible to be nominated as best original song in a motion picture. There are 74 eligible songs. I have maybe heard 12 of them so far, and even fewer in the context of the movie they play in (and that is an important factor, as I will explain later), so I really don’t have much of a leg to stand on when making guesses about the eventual nominees, but…
For fun, and because I have a hunch that won’t leave me, I have what I think is a pretty good idea which song may end up being the stealth surprise nominee nobody or hardly anybody saw coming. If I am right, it would be pretty cool. It I am wrong, who cares, right? This is just a blog, not a national newspaper, or trades magazine, or anything like that. I will give you my guess at the end of this little write up, and for the sake of completion, include the full list of 74 songs thereafter.
But really, how to guess which songs will eventually be nominated? Oscar prognosticating is a fun sport in certain corners of the internet, but this is one of the most notoriously difficult categories to predict. Every year there seem to be strange left field choices (two years ago one of those left field choices got disqualified in a bit of a scandal) or the inexplicable lack of nomination for a song everyone had expected would win.
This year a song everyone thought was the front runner didn’t even end up on the list of 74: Brian Wilson’s “One Kind of Love” from the excellent music biopic “Love and Mercy”. To understand why it was left off the list, let me quote Variety’s Kris Tapley’s rundown of the eligibility rules for Best Song candidates:
To be eligible, a song must consist of words and music, both of which are original and written specifically for the film. A clearly audible, intelligible, substantive rendition of both lyric and melody must be used in the body of the film or as the first music cue in the end credits.

Paul Dano as Brian Wilson in “Love and Mercy”
It appears that “One Kind of Love” may have been deemed the second cue in the end credits, although, if that is the reasoning, one could argue whether that really is the case, because what may have been deemed the first cue is live footage of the real Brian Wilson singing “Love and Mercy”, and perhaps more of an epilog to the movie rather than an end credit song. But I am speculating here on the reasons for disqualification, not quoting anyone else (and I may be remembering the end credits incorrectly). The only other reason the song might be considered ineligible is if the Academy decided the song wasn’t originally written for the movie. Many popular movie songs people point to when decrying their lack of a Best Song nomination in the past were deemed ineligible for that reason, like “Maybe This Time” from Cabaret or “Come What May” from Moulin Rouge.
I wouldn’t be surprised though if “One Kind of Love” ends up winning the Golden Globe in January. It is one of their 5 nominees for best song. The Globes song nominee list always differs somewhat from the Academy Award list, but it is a good place to start speculation on the Academy choices.
The Golden Globe nominees are:
Fifty Shades of Grey – “Love Me Like You Do”
Love & Mercy – “One Kind of Love”
Furious 7 – “See You Again”
Youth – “Simple Song #3”
Spectre – “Writing’s on the Wall”
Before we speculate, let’s look at the process of how the Academy members choose their nominees. Again I quote Kris Tapley:
During the nominations process, all voting members of the Music Branch will receive a Reminder List of works submitted in the category and a DVD copy of the song clips. Members will be asked to watch the clips and then vote in the order of their preference for not more than five achievements in the category. The five achievements receiving the highest number of votes will become the nominations for final voting for the award. A maximum of two songs may be nominated from any one film.

Jake Gyllenhaal listening to “A Love That Will Never Grow Old” in Brokeback Mountain. Unluckily for Oscar eligibility the scene and song excerpt didn’t run long enough for the Academy.
A very important aspect of this process is that Academy members are not merely voting on the song and its music and lyrics, but also on how it is placed in the movie, how it supports and enhances the drama of the film and/or how prominently or effectively the film showcases the song. Some great songs, like Emmylou Harris’ Golden Globe winning “A Love That Will Never Grow Old” from Brokeback Mountain for example, were ruled ineligible in the past because of the limited way they were featured in the film itself.
It is particularly because of the way the unnamed song I am thinking of is used dramatically in its movie that I believe it will stealthily slide into a nomination slot. But we shall see if I’m right after I reveal my hunch further down this post …
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